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Silver: Epic Reversal

On January 11th, we expected the US Dollar to top as Sentiment was uber-bullish, which would lead to a nice rally for Gold, Silver, and (Mining) stocks. That day, the USD index closed at 81.35, Silver at $29.89, and Gold at $1,641. (Click HERE for the article)

Today, the USD stands at 78.90, Silver at $33.89 and Gold at $1,733.50, so we got what we expected.

On January 9th, we posted the following chart, which compares the current silver “bubble” to the Nasdaq Bubble a decade ago:

(Click HERE for the entire article)

Now let’s see where we are today.

Just like the Nasdaq, Silver has set a lower/equal low, accompanied by a higher low of the MACD index, and has now rallied quite sharply:

Compare this to the Nasdaq:

An overlay of both charts shows us where we are today:

If we zoom in a bit:

If the pattern holds, we should be about halfway the “Bull trap”, as many will view this as the Return to “normal”.

If the pattern doesn’t hold, and silver blasts through $40, it’s probably on it’s way to the all-time high. In that case, the next big move would be to the upside, with potential targets of $70 and potentially triple digit silver prices.
As long as the pattern holds, I would be careful if silver hits $38.

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Related posts:

  1. Silver going vertical
  2. Why I am leaving silver for what it is…
  3. Silver price: Hey Silver Bugs, You Cryin’ Yet?
  4. Silver vs Palladium – Update
  5. Technical Analysis – Reversal Patterns II

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Posted by on Jan 27 2012. Filed under Free Articles, Latest posts, Sample Analyses. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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